Irrational exuberance for property investments
Business World
newspaper and online - June 12, 2016
"There is no
property bubble, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) assures us again, as it
had assured the market repeatedly since the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US
in 2006 that led to the global financial crisis in 2008-2009. It’s not going to
happen to us, we are told. BusinessWorld bannered: “BSP index shows no bubble
in sight” (06.06.2016)
But why would the
regulator, BSP, take upon itself the dangerous job of announcing whether there
would be a property bubble or not? Well and good if there is indeed no bubble,
but perhaps the “good news” or the clean bill of health should not come from
the trustee of the people’s money and regulator of banks as this might suggest
a somewhat misplaced endorsement of the players (developers and lenders) in a
specialized industry which it does not control.
With this
subliminal endorsement, the “all clear” is effectively given to the public to
proceed with investments in property as the logical fallback in the
long-playing scenario of low savings and other investments rates -- and low
interest rates have been purposely held down by the BSP itself to expand money
supply to prod activity in the market. If indeed there is no property bubble
(yet) as the BSP likes to announce repeatedly, its denials might encourage the
“herd mentality” that best describes how bubbles are formed in a market with
thinning options...."
READ ON -
http://www.bworldonline.com/content.php?section=Opinion&title=irrational-exuberance-for-property-investments&id=128883
Previous opinion piece by this writer - http://sohocentralcondominium.blogspot.com/2013/04/why-condo-corps-fail-century-you.html
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Previous opinion piece by this writer - http://sohocentralcondominium.blogspot.com/2013/04/why-condo-corps-fail-century-you.html
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